Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.753719e-03 0.001943 0.002133 0.002339 0.002554 0.002773 0.003010
2024-12-15 1.484438e-03 0.001759 0.002044 0.002361 0.002701 0.003054 0.003445
2024-12-22 1.236932e-03 0.001571 0.001929 0.002338 0.002786 0.003260 0.003796
2024-12-29 1.069460e-03 0.001453 0.001877 0.002372 0.002926 0.003522 0.004203
2025-01-05 9.337521e-04 0.001358 0.001840 0.002416 0.003071 0.003785 0.004611
2025-01-12 8.268672e-04 0.001285 0.001822 0.002474 0.003229 0.004060 0.005031
2025-01-19 6.763931e-04 0.001145 0.001713 0.002420 0.003253 0.004181 0.005277
2025-01-26 5.691630e-04 0.001049 0.001649 0.002412 0.003323 0.004351 0.005576
2025-02-02 4.757139e-04 0.000960 0.001587 0.002401 0.003387 0.004510 0.005859
2025-02-09 4.402930e-04 0.000947 0.001618 0.002501 0.003580 0.004818 0.006311
2025-02-16 3.745971e-04 0.000883 0.001579 0.002511 0.003664 0.004996 0.006613
2025-02-23 2.864581e-04 0.000774 0.001472 0.002430 0.003633 0.005038 0.006755
2025-03-02 2.042983e-04 0.000674 0.001388 0.002399 0.003692 0.005220 0.007103
2025-03-09 1.511840e-04 0.000612 0.001354 0.002432 0.003831 0.005502 0.007575
2025-03-16 9.719930e-05 0.000531 0.001285 0.002415 0.003909 0.005711 0.007965
2025-03-23 6.475469e-05 0.000482 0.001259 0.002455 0.004058 0.006007 0.008460
2025-03-30 4.071980e-05 0.000441 0.001241 0.002503 0.004216 0.006315 0.008970
2025-04-06 2.425660e-05 0.000408 0.001233 0.002564 0.004391 0.006645 0.009508
2025-04-13 6.146048e-06 0.000337 0.001150 0.002511 0.004414 0.006784 0.009815
2025-04-20 3.188278e-07 0.000289 0.001100 0.002504 0.004493 0.006993 0.010205
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000245 0.001051 0.002493 0.004566 0.007192 0.010583
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000238 0.001077 0.002596 0.004793 0.007584 0.011195
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000206 0.001044 0.002606 0.004892 0.007814 0.011610